The Tyson Group
Polls scored
12
9 races, 2004–2016
Lean
0.5 pts toward Democrats
95% range -2.2 to 3.0
Average miss
3.2 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
91%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-19 | 2016 Senate · FL | R+5.0 | R+7.7 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-19 | 2016 President · FL | D+3.0 | R+1.2 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-19 | 2010 Senate · NC | R+10.0 | R+11.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-28 | 2008 President · NC | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-28 | 2008 Governor · NC | D+2.0 | D+3.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-28 | 2008 Senate · NC | D+2.0 | D+8.5 | -6.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 President · NC | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 Governor · NC | even | D+3.4 | -3.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 Senate · NC | D+3.0 | D+8.5 | -5.5 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-19 | 2004 President · NC | R+8.0 | R+12.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-19 | 2004 Governor · NC | D+15.0 | D+12.7 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-19 | 2004 Senate · NC | R+1.0 | R+4.6 | +3.6 | autopsy |