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Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication

Polls scored
12
9 races, 2000–2004
Lean
4.5 pts toward Democrats
95% range -0.0 to 9.1
Average miss
6.9 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
82%

Every scored poll

Fieldwork endedRacePollResultMissWorkings
2004-10-272004 President · NHD+7.0D+1.4+5.6autopsy
2004-10-272004 Governor · NHD+1.0D+2.1-1.1autopsy
2004-10-272004 Senate · NHR+40.0R+32.5-7.5autopsy
2004-10-202004 President · NHD+9.0D+1.4+7.6autopsy
2004-10-202004 Governor · NHevenD+2.1-2.1autopsy
2004-10-202004 Senate · NHR+33.0R+32.5-0.5autopsy
2002-10-292002 Governor · NHR+8.0R+20.4+12.4autopsy
2002-10-292002 Senate · NHD+5.0R+4.4+9.4autopsy
2002-10-292002 House · NH-1R+7.0R+19.6+12.6autopsy
2002-10-262002 House · NH-2R+19.0R+16.0-3.0autopsy
2000-10-242000 President · NHD+3.0R+1.3+4.3autopsy
2000-10-242000 Governor · NHD+21.0D+5.0+16.0autopsy