Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group
Polls scored
29
26 races, 1998–2022
Lean
2.4 pts toward Democrats
95% range 0.3 to 4.5
Average miss
4.8 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
93%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-21 | 2022 Senate · NV | D+1.0 | D+0.8 | +0.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-20 | 2022 Senate · GA | D+3.0 | D+1.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-18 | 2022 Senate · PA | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 House · OH-10 | R+4.0 | R+16.7 | +12.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-13 | 2020 President · GA | D+7.0 | D+0.2 | +6.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-13 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+5.0 | R+1.8 | +6.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-26 | 2014 Senate · IA | even | R+8.3 | +8.3 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-16 | 2014 House · MA-6 | D+11.0 | D+13.8 | -2.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-14 | 2014 House · NJ-5 | R+5.0 | R+12.1 | +7.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-28 | 2012 Senate · MT | D+1.0 | D+3.7 | -2.7 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-21 | 2012 House · CT-5 | D+4.0 | D+3.1 | +0.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-17 | 2012 Senate · VA | D+4.0 | D+5.9 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-17 | 2012 House · IL-11 | D+4.0 | D+17.1 | -13.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-16 | 2012 Senate · PA | D+13.0 | D+9.1 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-05-29 | 2012 Governor · WI | R+2.0 | R+6.8 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-05-23 | 2012 Governor · WI | R+1.3 | R+6.8 | +5.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-26 | 2008 Senate · KY | R+2.0 | R+5.9 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-29 | 2006 Governor · MD | D+6.0 | D+6.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Senate · VA | D+4.0 | D+0.4 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-23 | 2006 Senate · MD | D+12.0 | D+10.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-22 | 2006 House · PA-6 | D+3.0 | R+1.3 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-23 | 2004 Senate · KY | R+1.0 | R+1.3 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-19 | 2004 President · NV | R+1.0 | R+2.6 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-16 | 2004 Senate · KY | even | R+1.3 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-28 | 2002 Governor · FL | R+3.0 | R+12.9 | +9.8 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-28 | 2002 Governor · IL | D+16.0 | D+7.1 | +8.9 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-28 | 2002 Senate · NC | R+3.0 | R+8.6 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-22 | 2002 Senate · NC | R+4.0 | R+8.6 | +4.6 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-13 | 1998 Senate · NY | D+4.0 | D+14.2 | -10.2 | autopsy |