GQR
Polls scored
40
26 races, 2000–2024
Lean
3.5 pts toward Democrats
95% range 2.0 to 5.0
Average miss
4.3 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
66%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-26 | 2024 Senate · Missouri | R+3.0 | R+13.7 | +10.7 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-24 | 2018 Governor · NM | D+9.0 | D+14.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-17 | 2018 House · FL-15 | even | R+6.0 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-23 | 2016 President · US | D+12.0 | D+2.2 | +9.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-21 | 2014 Governor · MA | D+1.0 | R+1.9 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-03 | 2012 President · US | D+4.0 | D+3.9 | +0.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-20 | 2012 President · US | D+3.0 | D+3.9 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-05-20 | 2012 Governor · WI | R+3.0 | R+6.8 | +3.8 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-22 | 2010 Governor · NM | R+1.0 | R+6.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-18 | 2010 House · NC-11 | D+15.0 | D+8.7 | +6.3 | autopsy |
| 2009-10-31 | 2009 Governor · NJ | D+6.0 | R+3.6 | +9.6 | autopsy |
| 2009-10-27 | 2009 Governor · NJ | D+5.0 | R+3.6 | +8.6 | autopsy |
| 2009-10-21 | 2009 Governor · NJ | D+3.0 | R+3.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-01 | 2008 President · US | D+7.0 | D+7.4 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-27 | 2008 President · SD | R+5.0 | R+8.4 | +3.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-22 | 2008 President · US | D+9.0 | D+7.4 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-22 | 2008 Senate · SD | D+30.0 | D+25.0 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-22 | 2008 House · TX-7 | R+5.0 | R+13.5 | +8.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 House · AL-2 | D+7.0 | D+0.6 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 House · OH-15 | D+8.0 | D+0.8 | +7.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-18 | 2008 President · GA | R+2.0 | R+5.2 | +3.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-18 | 2008 Senate · GA | R+4.0 | R+2.9 | -1.1 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-17 | 2008 President · US | D+5.0 | D+7.4 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-14 | 2008 Senate · SD | D+24.0 | D+25.0 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-14 | 2008 House · FL-24 | D+23.0 | D+16.1 | +6.9 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-17 | 2006 House · OH-13 | D+23.0 | D+22.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · US | D+1.0 | R+2.4 | +3.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-27 | 2004 President · US | D+2.0 | R+2.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-26 | 2004 House · IL-8 | R+2.0 | D+3.4 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-25 | 2004 Senate · SD | D+2.0 | R+1.2 | +3.2 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-24 | 2004 President · US | D+2.0 | R+2.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-20 | 2004 President · US | D+2.0 | R+2.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-17 | 2004 President · US | D+3.0 | R+2.4 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-15 | 2004 President · US | D+3.0 | R+2.4 | +5.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-22 | 2002 Senate · SD | D+2.0 | D+0.2 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-15 | 2002 Senate · NH | D+2.0 | R+4.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-30 | 2000 President · US | even | D+0.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-24 | 2000 President · US | D+2.0 | D+0.5 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-19 | 2000 President · US | D+2.0 | D+0.5 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-18 | 2000 President · US | D+1.0 | D+0.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |