Big Village
Polls scored
67
60 races, 2006–2024
Lean
0.3 pts toward Republicans
95% range -1.6 to 0.8
Average miss
3.8 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
80%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-23 | 2024 President · US | D+5.1 | R+1.5 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 Senate · NV | R+2.0 | D+2.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 Senate · PA | D+5.0 | R+1.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 Senate · AZ | R+13.0 | R+13.0 | -0.0 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 Senate · FL | R+1.0 | R+7.7 | +6.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · AZ | R+5.0 | R+3.5 | -1.5 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · FL | D+2.0 | R+1.2 | +3.2 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · NV | R+6.0 | D+2.4 | -8.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-29 | 2016 President · PA | D+4.0 | R+0.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-22 | 2016 President · US | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-29 | 2014 Senate · NC | D+2.0 | R+1.6 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-29 | 2014 Senate · IA | R+2.0 | R+8.3 | +6.3 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-21 | 2014 Senate · GA | D+3.0 | R+7.7 | +10.7 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-21 | 2014 Governor · GA | D+2.0 | R+7.9 | +9.9 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-20 | 2014 Senate · NH | D+2.0 | D+3.2 | -1.2 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-20 | 2014 Governor · NH | D+6.0 | D+4.9 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-03 | 2012 President · US | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-31 | 2012 President · OH | D+3.0 | D+3.0 | +0.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-28 | 2012 President · CO | D+1.0 | D+5.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-27 | 2012 President · FL | even | D+0.9 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 President · OH | D+4.0 | D+3.0 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-17 | 2012 President · FL | R+1.0 | D+0.9 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Governor · CA | D+7.0 | D+12.9 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Governor · CO | D+41.0 | D+39.9 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Governor · NV | R+24.0 | R+11.7 | -12.3 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Governor · PA | R+7.0 | R+9.0 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Senate · CA | D+5.0 | D+10.0 | -5.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Senate · CO | R+1.0 | D+1.6 | -2.6 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Senate · KY | R+7.0 | R+11.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Senate · NV | R+4.0 | D+5.7 | -9.7 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-23 | 2010 Senate · PA | R+4.0 | R+2.0 | -2.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Governor · AK | R+26.0 | R+21.4 | -4.6 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Governor · AR | D+27.0 | D+30.8 | -3.8 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Governor · FL | R+3.0 | R+1.1 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Governor · OH | D+1.0 | R+2.0 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Senate · AK | R+14.0 | R+12.1 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Senate · AR | R+14.0 | R+21.0 | +7.0 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Senate · FL | R+26.0 | R+28.7 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2010-10-17 | 2010 Senate · OH | R+15.0 | R+17.4 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-31 | 2008 President · US | D+8.0 | D+7.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · AZ | R+6.0 | R+8.5 | +2.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · CO | D+7.0 | D+9.0 | -2.0 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · FL | D+5.0 | D+2.8 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · GA | R+4.0 | R+5.2 | +1.2 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · MO | R+2.0 | R+0.1 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · NC | D+6.0 | D+0.3 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · NV | D+7.0 | D+12.5 | -5.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · OH | D+7.0 | D+4.6 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · PA | D+12.0 | D+10.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 President · VA | D+9.0 | D+6.3 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 Senate · CO | D+10.0 | D+10.3 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 Senate · GA | R+9.0 | R+2.9 | -6.1 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 Senate · NC | D+9.0 | D+8.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-25 | 2008 Senate · VA | D+28.0 | D+31.3 | -3.3 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 President · NC | D+5.0 | D+0.3 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 President · NV | D+6.0 | D+12.5 | -6.5 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 President · OH | D+5.0 | D+4.6 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 President · VA | D+7.0 | D+6.3 | +0.7 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 President · WV | R+12.0 | R+13.1 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-18 | 2008 President · US | D+6.0 | D+7.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Governor · OH | D+23.0 | D+23.9 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Governor · TN | D+22.0 | D+38.9 | -16.9 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Senate · MO | even | D+2.3 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Senate · NJ | D+7.0 | D+16.0 | -9.0 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Senate · OH | D+11.0 | D+12.3 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Senate · TN | R+8.0 | R+2.7 | -5.3 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-28 | 2006 Senate · VA | D+4.0 | D+0.4 | +3.6 | autopsy |