Embold Research
Polls scored
104
89 races, 2017–2024
Lean
3.1 pts toward Democrats
95% range 1.7 to 4.4
Average miss
5.6 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
77%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Nebraska | R+18.0 | R+20.5 | +2.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 President · Minnesota | D+2.6 | D+4.2 | -1.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-22 | 2024 Senate · Minnesota | D+11.7 | D+15.7 | -4.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-21 | 2024 President · Nebraska | R+14.0 | R+20.5 | +6.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-11-01 | 2020 House · MO-2 | even | R+6.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · US | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · AZ | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · FL | D+3.0 | R+3.4 | +6.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · IA | even | R+8.2 | +8.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · ME | D+12.0 | D+9.1 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · MI | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · MT | R+5.0 | R+16.4 | +11.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · NC | D+2.0 | R+1.3 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · PA | D+4.0 | D+1.2 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · WI | D+8.0 | D+0.6 | +7.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+4.0 | D+2.3 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 Senate · IA | D+1.0 | R+6.6 | +7.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 Senate · ME | D+8.0 | R+8.6 | +16.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+5.0 | D+1.7 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 Senate · MT | R+4.0 | R+10.0 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+4.0 | R+1.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 Governor · MT | R+4.0 | R+12.9 | +8.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 House · AR-2 | even | R+10.7 | +10.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 House · IN-5 | even | R+4.1 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 House · ME-2 | D+9.0 | D+6.1 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 House · NE-2 | D+1.0 | R+4.6 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 House · NY-24 | D+2.0 | R+2.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 House · OH-1 | R+2.0 | R+7.1 | +5.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 House · OK-5 | even | R+4.1 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · M1 | D+21.0 | D+23.1 | -2.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · M2 | D+1.0 | R+7.4 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-31 | 2020 President · N2 | D+3.0 | D+6.5 | -3.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-23 | 2020 President · US | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-23 | 2020 House · FL-15 | R+2.0 | R+10.8 | +8.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · AZ | D+6.0 | D+0.3 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · FL | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · MI | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · NC | D+3.0 | R+1.3 | +4.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · PA | D+2.0 | D+1.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 President · WI | D+8.0 | D+0.6 | +7.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 Senate · AK | R+3.0 | R+12.7 | +9.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 Senate · AZ | D+11.0 | D+2.3 | +8.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 Senate · MI | D+5.0 | D+1.7 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 Senate · NC | D+6.0 | R+1.7 | +7.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-17 | 2020 President · US | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-14 | 2020 President · MN | D+5.0 | D+7.1 | -2.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-14 | 2020 Senate · MN | D+4.0 | D+5.2 | -1.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-14 | 2020 House · IA-4 | R+5.0 | R+24.2 | +19.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-25 | 2018 Senate · MS | R+5.0 | R+7.3 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · MI | D+2.0 | D+6.5 | -4.5 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · MN | D+15.0 | D+24.1 | -9.1 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · MS | R+8.0 | R+19.0 | +11.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · MT | R+3.0 | D+3.6 | -6.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · NJ | D+10.0 | D+11.2 | -1.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · OH | D+10.0 | D+6.8 | +3.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · PA | D+7.0 | D+13.1 | -6.1 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · WY | R+29.0 | R+36.9 | +7.9 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Senate · MN | D+9.0 | D+10.6 | -1.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · CA | D+12.0 | D+23.9 | -11.9 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · ID | R+16.0 | R+21.6 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · IA | D+3.0 | R+2.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · MI | D+8.0 | D+9.6 | -1.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · MN | D+12.0 | D+11.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · OH | D+5.0 | R+3.7 | +8.7 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · PA | D+11.0 | D+17.1 | -6.1 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · SD | D+6.0 | R+3.4 | +9.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 Governor · WY | R+34.0 | R+39.6 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · GA-6 | D+6.0 | D+1.0 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · MI-6 | D+2.0 | R+4.6 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · MI-8 | D+1.0 | D+3.8 | -2.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · MT-1 | R+8.0 | R+4.6 | -3.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · NC-13 | even | R+6.0 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · OH-1 | R+3.0 | R+4.4 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · OH-4 | R+24.0 | R+30.5 | +6.5 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · SD-1 | R+10.0 | R+24.3 | +14.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · VA-2 | even | D+2.2 | -2.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-03 | 2018 House · WY-1 | R+27.0 | R+33.8 | +6.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-01 | 2018 Senate · FL | D+2.0 | R+0.1 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2018-11-01 | 2018 Senate · TX | even | R+2.6 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 Governor · NH | R+1.0 | R+7.0 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · CO-3 | R+15.0 | R+8.0 | -7.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · FL-18 | R+9.0 | R+8.6 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · IA-4 | R+1.0 | R+3.3 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · IL-16 | R+14.0 | R+18.2 | +4.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · IN-5 | R+6.0 | R+13.5 | +7.5 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · IN-9 | R+7.0 | R+13.0 | +6.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · KS-2 | R+1.0 | R+0.8 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · MI-1 | R+12.0 | R+12.6 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · MI-6 | R+3.0 | R+4.6 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · NY-1 | R+15.0 | D+1.0 | -16.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · OH-2 | R+13.0 | R+16.4 | +3.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 House · WI-6 | R+2.0 | R+11.0 | +9.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-25 | 2018 House · OH-7 | R+6.0 | R+17.5 | +11.5 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-24 | 2018 House · NE-1 | R+16.0 | R+20.7 | +4.7 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-23 | 2018 House · NY-23 | R+2.0 | R+5.7 | +3.7 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-20 | 2018 House · CA-22 | R+5.0 | R+5.4 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-20 | 2018 House · WI-1 | D+1.0 | R+12.3 | +13.3 | autopsy |
| 2017-12-10 | 2017 Senate · AL | R+6.0 | D+1.6 | -7.6 | autopsy |
| 2017-12-06 | 2017 Senate · AL | R+7.0 | D+1.6 | -8.6 | autopsy |
| 2017-11-26 | 2017 Senate · AL | R+5.0 | D+1.6 | -6.6 | autopsy |
| 2017-11-03 | 2017 Governor · VA | D+6.0 | D+8.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2017-11-03 | 2017 Governor · NJ | D+16.0 | D+14.1 | +1.9 | autopsy |
| 2017-06-16 | 2017 House · SC-5 | R+9.0 | R+3.1 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2017-05-22 | 2017 House · MT-1 | R+5.0 | R+5.6 | +0.6 | autopsy |