AtlasIntel
Polls scored
95
38 races, 2020–2024
Lean
0.2 pts toward Democrats
95% range -0.6 to 0.7
Average miss
1.8 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
82%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · US | R+1.1 | R+1.5 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+5.1 | R+5.5 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Georgia | even | R+2.2 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Michigan | R+1.8 | R+1.4 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Nevada | R+3.1 | R+3.1 | -0.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+2.2 | R+3.2 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+0.7 | R+1.7 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+1.2 | R+0.9 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Minnesota | D+2.1 | D+4.2 | -2.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Montana | R+20.2 | R+19.9 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Ohio | R+8.5 | R+11.2 | +2.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Texas | R+9.7 | R+13.7 | +4.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Virginia | D+5.4 | D+5.8 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 President · Puerto Rico | D+30.8 | D+46.7 | -15.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | R+0.6 | D+2.4 | -3.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+1.1 | D+0.3 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | D+5.5 | D+1.6 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+2.7 | R+0.2 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+0.9 | D+0.8 | +0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Minnesota | D+11.4 | D+15.7 | -4.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Montana | R+10.6 | R+7.1 | -3.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Ohio | R+3.0 | R+3.6 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Texas | R+7.0 | R+8.5 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Senate · Virginia | D+8.6 | D+8.9 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-04 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+16.5 | D+14.8 | +1.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · US | R+1.8 | R+1.5 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+6.8 | R+5.5 | -1.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+1.8 | R+2.2 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Michigan | R+1.5 | R+1.4 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+1.3 | R+0.9 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+1.7 | R+1.7 | +0.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+3.6 | R+3.2 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · Nevada | R+5.5 | R+3.1 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | R+1.7 | D+2.4 | -4.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+1.3 | D+0.3 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+0.5 | D+0.8 | -0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+2.1 | R+0.2 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+11.1 | D+14.8 | -3.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · US | R+1.9 | R+1.5 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · North Carolina | R+4.0 | R+3.2 | -0.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+4.9 | R+5.5 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+1.6 | R+2.2 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Michigan | R+0.9 | R+1.4 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Nevada | R+3.6 | R+3.1 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+1.1 | R+1.7 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+0.3 | R+0.9 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | R+0.7 | D+2.4 | -3.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+3.2 | D+0.3 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | D+1.9 | D+1.6 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+3.6 | R+0.2 | +3.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+0.2 | D+0.8 | -0.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-31 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+9.4 | D+14.8 | -5.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · US | R+2.5 | R+1.5 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+4.2 | R+5.5 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+3.1 | R+2.2 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · Michigan | R+1.3 | R+1.4 | +0.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · Nevada | R+0.9 | R+3.1 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · North Carolina | D+0.1 | R+3.2 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+2.1 | R+1.7 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | R+0.6 | R+0.9 | +0.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | D+0.5 | D+2.4 | -1.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | D+1.8 | D+0.3 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | D+4.7 | D+1.6 | +3.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | D+2.1 | R+0.2 | +2.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+0.8 | D+0.8 | -0.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+14.6 | D+14.8 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · US | R+3.1 | R+1.5 | -1.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · Arizona | R+0.6 | R+5.5 | +4.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · Georgia | R+1.7 | R+2.2 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · Michigan | R+2.8 | R+1.4 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · Nevada | D+0.1 | R+3.1 | +3.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · North Carolina | D+0.7 | R+3.2 | +3.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · Pennsylvania | R+3.3 | R+1.7 | -1.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 President · Wisconsin | D+0.7 | R+0.9 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 Senate · Arizona | D+3.5 | D+2.4 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 Senate · Michigan | R+0.6 | D+0.3 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 Senate · Nevada | D+4.1 | D+1.6 | +2.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 Senate · Pennsylvania | R+1.2 | R+0.2 | -1.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 Senate · Wisconsin | D+3.0 | D+0.8 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-17 | 2024 Governor · North Carolina | D+14.6 | D+14.8 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-06 | 2022 Senate · GA | R+3.2 | D+1.0 | -4.2 | autopsy |
| 2021-01-03 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+3.9 | D+2.1 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2021-01-03 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+4.5 | D+1.2 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-12-29 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+4.2 | D+2.1 | +2.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-12-29 | 2020 Senate · GA | D+4.3 | D+1.2 | +3.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · AZ | R+2.3 | D+0.3 | -2.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · GA | R+2.2 | D+0.2 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · MI | D+2.4 | D+2.8 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · NC | R+2.0 | R+1.3 | -0.7 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · TX | R+2.7 | R+5.6 | +2.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · WI | D+1.9 | D+0.6 | +1.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · OH | R+3.9 | R+8.0 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-29 | 2020 President · PA | R+1.1 | D+1.2 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-28 | 2020 President · FL | D+0.1 | R+3.4 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-27 | 2020 President · US | D+4.7 | D+4.4 | +0.3 | autopsy |