Cygnal
Polls scored
53
47 races, 2014–2024
Lean
3.1 pts toward Democrats
95% range 1.7 to 4.3
Average miss
4.1 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
94%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 President · California | D+24.5 | D+20.1 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-30 | 2024 Senate · California | D+24.2 | D+17.7 | +6.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 President · Virginia | D+7.6 | D+5.8 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-29 | 2024 Senate · Virginia | D+9.9 | D+8.9 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · Texas | R+8.0 | R+13.7 | +5.7 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · Florida | R+5.1 | R+13.1 | +8.0 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 President · Wyoming | R+42.5 | R+45.8 | +3.3 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 Senate · Texas | R+4.0 | R+8.5 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 Senate · Florida | R+3.9 | R+12.8 | +8.9 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-28 | 2024 Senate · Wyoming | R+47.5 | R+51.0 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 President · New York | D+17.8 | D+12.6 | +5.2 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-27 | 2024 Senate · New York | D+19.4 | D+18.3 | +1.1 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-26 | 2024 President · US | D+1.1 | R+1.5 | +2.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-24 | 2024 President · New Jersey | D+11.5 | D+5.9 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-24 | 2024 Senate · New Jersey | D+16.4 | D+9.6 | +6.8 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-16 | 2024 House · Alaska | R+4.1 | R+6.3 | +2.2 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-03 | 2022 Governor · MI | D+3.7 | D+10.5 | -6.8 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-02 | 2022 Senate · OH | R+6.2 | R+6.1 | -0.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-02 | 2022 Governor · OH | R+18.9 | R+25.0 | +6.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-01 | 2022 Senate · NV | R+2.5 | D+0.8 | -3.3 | autopsy |
| 2022-11-01 | 2022 Governor · NV | R+5.0 | R+1.5 | -3.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-29 | 2022 Governor · MI | D+6.4 | D+10.5 | -4.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Senate · AL | R+29.6 | R+35.7 | +6.1 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Senate · OH | R+4.5 | R+6.1 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Governor · AL | R+34.2 | R+37.7 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-28 | 2022 Governor · OH | R+20.5 | R+25.0 | +4.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-26 | 2022 Senate · IA | R+11.2 | R+12.2 | +1.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-26 | 2022 Governor · IA | R+19.0 | R+18.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-23 | 2022 Governor · MI | D+6.1 | D+10.5 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-22 | 2022 Senate · OH | R+4.1 | R+6.1 | +2.0 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-22 | 2022 Governor · OH | R+17.6 | R+25.0 | +7.4 | autopsy |
| 2022-10-21 | 2022 Senate · NC | R+3.8 | R+3.2 | -0.6 | autopsy |
| 2021-10-20 | 2021 Governor · VA | even | R+1.9 | +1.9 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-22 | 2020 Senate · AL | R+13.6 | R+20.4 | +6.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-22 | 2020 Governor · IN | R+18.3 | R+24.5 | +6.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-21 | 2020 Senate · TN | R+20.7 | R+27.0 | +6.3 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-20 | 2020 Senate · NE | R+29.9 | R+38.3 | +8.4 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 Senate · KY | R+10.3 | R+19.5 | +9.2 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-19 | 2020 Governor · MO | R+6.6 | R+16.4 | +9.8 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-18 | 2020 Senate · TX | R+8.1 | R+9.6 | +1.5 | autopsy |
| 2019-11-08 | 2019 Governor · LA | D+2.2 | D+2.7 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-30 | 2018 Senate · OH | D+10.4 | D+6.8 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-30 | 2018 Governor · OH | R+0.2 | R+3.7 | +3.5 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-29 | 2018 Governor · GA | R+2.2 | R+1.4 | -0.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 Senate · FL | D+1.8 | R+0.1 | +1.9 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-28 | 2018 Governor · FL | R+0.6 | R+0.4 | -0.2 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-26 | 2018 Senate · IN | R+2.9 | R+5.9 | +3.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-26 | 2018 Senate · MO | R+3.0 | R+5.8 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-26 | 2018 Senate · TN | R+5.8 | R+10.8 | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2018-10-26 | 2018 Governor · TN | R+22.4 | R+21.0 | -1.4 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 Senate · KY | R+9.7 | R+14.5 | +4.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-27 | 2016 President · KY | R+24.0 | R+29.8 | +5.8 | autopsy |
| 2014-10-14 | 2014 Governor · AL | R+21.3 | R+27.3 | +6.0 | autopsy |